AI Fair-Value NIL Synthesis: Kamauryn Morgan (EDGE)
Get the Best Portal Insights and Information at PortalIntel.AI
Looking to develop the next generation of elite football talent? Visit myfootballcamps.com for premier training opportunities, explore coaching resources at coachschuman.com, and follow our competitive programs at boardwalkbeastsfb.com.
Grounded in 2025–2026 Transfer Portal Market Benchmarks
This Fair Market NIL Audit evaluates the projected NIL value of Kamauryn Morgan based on current transfer portal dynamics, comparable deals, and roster impact modeling. Whether you're a college program evaluating acquisitions, a collective assessing investment opportunities, or a young athlete learning about the NIL landscape: this breakdown provides the competitive intelligence you need.
Executive Summary
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Player | Kamauryn Morgan (EDGE) |
| Status | Transfer Portal (via Baylor) |
| Previous Commitment | Decommitted from Virginia Tech – January 2026 |
| Estimated Market Value | $225,000 – $375,000 (base + incentives) |
| Audit Verdict | High-Upside / Speculative Buy |
Morgan profiles as a classic "pedigree investment." His valuation is driven more by his high school ranking (Top-30 EDGE nationally) and physical traits (6'5" frame, long-lever athlete) than by college production. His late-cycle availability creates scarcity value, while his limited on-field résumé and recent enrollment issues cap guaranteed money.
This is a stock-style acquisition: buy low now, develop aggressively, and potentially cash in on a future $1M+ NIL / NFL Draft-caliber player in 2027–2028.
1. Scarcity Analysis – High (Late-Cycle Premium)
The transfer portal operates on supply and demand economics. By late January, the market has already absorbed most proven commodities. That's where Morgan's value proposition becomes compelling.
Market Context
By late January 2026, most proven EDGE rushers with 5+ sack Power-4 production are already placed. Programs scrambling to fill defensive line depth are working with a depleted talent pool.
Replacement Difficulty: Very High
Finding a 6'5", ~250 lb EDGE with three years of eligibility remaining this late in the cycle is exceptionally rare. Most players fitting this profile either committed early in the cycle or returned to their original programs.
Leverage Point
Morgan is arguably the best available developmental EDGE still on the board, giving him leverage with programs seeking immediate depth: even with limited production. Programs in "win-now" mode that suffered unexpected EDGE attrition have few alternatives with this ceiling.
Scarcity Grade: A-
2. Production vs. Pedigree Disconnect
Here's where we get into the real numbers. Morgan's market value isn't built on what he's done: it's built on what scouts believe he can do.
2025 On-Field Data
| Metric | Total |
|---|---|
| Snap Count | ~125 defensive snaps |
| Tackles | 6 |
| Pressures | 1 |
| Sacks | 0 |
These numbers are objectively underwhelming. A rotational EDGE with zero sacks and one pressure in 125 snaps typically grades out as a depth piece: not a premium portal acquisition.
Valuation Breakdown
| Valuation Method | Estimated Value |
|---|---|
| Production-Based Value | < $50,000 |
| Pedigree-Based Value | ~$200,000 |
The disconnect is stark. If we valued Morgan purely on production, he'd command depth money: somewhere in the $30,000–$50,000 range. But his recruiting pedigree (Top-30 national EDGE ranking out of high school) and elite physical traits push his market value significantly higher.
The Bottom Line
Morgan's current market value is almost entirely projection-based. This is effectively a delayed high school signing bonus: buying into upside after one year of college development rather than proven output.
Programs acquiring Morgan are betting on the scouting report, not the stat sheet.
3. Projected Roster Impact
What does Morgan actually bring to a roster in 2026? Let's model it out.
Expected Role
Rotational EDGE / Situational third-down pass rusher
Morgan isn't walking into a starting role at a Power-4 program. His value in Year 1 comes from providing quality snaps during rotation (15–20 per game), particularly in late-game pass-rush situations where his length and athleticism create favorable matchups against fatigued tackles.
Estimated Win Contribution: 0.2 – 0.5 Wins
For context, elite EDGEs typically add 1.5+ wins through consistent pressure and game-changing plays. Morgan's short-term contribution is more modest: but that's expected given his developmental stage.
Long-Term ROI
The real upside materializes in 2027–2028. Signing Morgan now is a stock-style investment:
- Acquisition Cost: ~$300k
- Development Window: 2 years
- Projected Peak Value: $1M+ NIL / NFL Draft-caliber EDGE
Programs with strong defensive line development track records stand to benefit most. If Morgan's physical tools translate to production, the return on investment could be substantial.
4. NIL Contract Recommendation
Based on our analysis, here's the recommended NIL structure for acquiring Kamauryn Morgan.
Target Range: $225,000 – $375,000
Given prior enrollment concerns and limited production, guaranteed money should be controlled and incentives emphasized. This protects against downside risk while still offering competitive compensation.
Recommended Structure
| Component | Amount | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Guaranteed Base | $18,000 – $22,000/month (~$216k – $264k annually) | Aligns with high-end 4-star freshman NIL norms |
| Performance Incentives | Up to $100,000 | Rewards production and availability |
| Signing Bonus | $10,000 – $25,000 | Minimal upfront risk |
Performance Incentive Breakdown
| Trigger | Bonus |
|---|---|
| Exceed 300 defensive snaps | +$10,000 |
| Per sack (capped at 5) | +$5,000 each |
| Full eligibility/availability (12 games) | +$15,000 |
This structure accomplishes two goals:
- Limits upfront risk in case of academic issues or portal churn
- Rewards development and incentivizes Morgan to maximize his on-field contributions
Comparable Market Context
How does Morgan stack up against similar players in the current portal market?
| Player Profile | Typical NIL Range |
|---|---|
| Elite Freshman EDGEs (Top-10) | $350k – $600k |
| P4 Rotational DE Transfers (2–3 sacks) | $150k – $250k |
| Kamauryn Morgan | $225k – $375k |
Morgan sits between tiers. He earns a premium over typical rotational transfers due to his athletic ceiling: but is discounted from elite freshman pricing due to limited production and a burned redshirt year.
This is fair-value pricing for a high-upside speculative asset.
Final Verdict
Kamauryn Morgan is a calculated upside play.
The correct approach: controlled guarantees, incentive-heavy structure, and patience.
Programs willing to invest developmentally could secure a high-ceiling EDGE at a discount before his breakout window. The risk is real: limited production, enrollment history, and projection-based valuation all factor in. But the reward potential is significant for programs with the infrastructure to develop elite pass rushers.
For collectives and programs evaluating late-cycle EDGE options, Morgan represents one of the better remaining opportunities in the 2026 portal cycle.
Want to develop elite football skills and learn what it takes to compete at the highest levels? Check out our programs at myfootballcamps.com, get expert coaching insights at coachschuman.com, and follow the competitive action at boardwalkbeastsfb.com. The path to excellence starts with the right training.
About Author
